10/04/2004

The swing vote won't be addressed with "Mr."

How important is the vote from the undecided women bloc of the electorate? Enough that it alone could decide who our the president will be for the next four years. Here's a missive from Ms. Magazine.

On Nov. 2, 2004, some 8 million more women than men will vote. Right now, women are the majority of undecided voters. According to Zogby Interactive polls, released just last night, this presidential race is in a "virtual dead heat." Every vote counts. Neither Bush nor Kerry hold a clear cut lead in the electoral college. Zogby, as of September 21, places the electoral count at Kerry 264, Bush 241, with two states (Arkansas and Florida) too close to call. But several other battleground states also are razor-thin...

Here's the Zogby data by state. Everywhere Kerry is leading in the battleground states -- it is with the women, young people, and Independents breaking his way. Everywhere Bush is leading, it is with men and Independents breaking with him. The gender gap in every key state is the decisive difference.